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| Forecasting The Number Of Nurses In Emergency Installation In Kalabahi Regional Hospital In 2019 Using The Markov Chain
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Maktisen Ena, Mutiara Kolihar
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Abstract:
The Kalabahi Regional Hospital often experiences problems related to the increasing number of patients who come to the hospital to be treated, both from the referral health center and those who come directly to be treated, therefore it is necessary to have good management in empowering nurses at the Kalabahi regional hospital and until Currently, there is still a lack of nursing staff at the Kalabahi Regional Hospital. In improving services to the community, it is necessary to analyze the probability of the number of nurses at the Kalabahi Regional Hospital. One method that is suitable for predicting the number of nurses at the Kalabahi Regional Hospital is the Markov Chain method. The results obtained are that the probability of moving from state one to state one is 0.89, and state one to state three is 0.11. the probability of moving from state two to state one is 0, state two to state one is 0.98, and state two to state three is 0.2. the probability of moving from state four to state one is 0.33, state four to state two is 0.67, and state four to state one is 0. Forecasting the number of nurses in 2019 is 25 people with a total composition of nurses based on education level, namely for nurses as many as 5 people and DIII as many as 20 people.
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