Title: Climate Change And Agricultural Productivity In Uganda
Authors: Wabomba Kadili, Marwa Said, Dolorence Wakida,Ismah Serunjoji
Volume: 10
Issue: 1
Pages: 324-335
Publication Date: 2026/01/28
Abstract:
The consequences of climate change, including temperature variability, altered rainfall patterns, and extreme weather events, on Uganda's agricultural productivity were examined in this study. The livelihoods of millions of smallholder farmers are seriously threatened by the growing unpredictability of climate conditions, and agriculture continues to be a vital part of Uganda's economy. With data gathered from a sample of 353 respondents selected from a target population of 3,000 agricultural households, encompassing crop, livestock, and mixed farmers, the study used a descriptive and quantitative research approach. To guarantee equitable representation, simple random sampling was employed. Descriptive statistics and regression analysis were used to examine the data after structured questionnaires were distributed. According to the results, most farmers have noticed more frequent extreme weather occurrences, erratic rainfall patterns, and higher temperature swings in recent years. Crop yields, livestock health, and total farm revenue were all found to have suffered as a result of these climate changes. Nonetheless, other farmers stated that they had adopted coping mechanisms like water saving measures, modifying planting schedules, and using better seed kinds. According to regression analysis, climate change effects were statistically significant (p <.001) and explained 12.6% of the variation in agricultural productivity. This emphasizes how climate variability actually and quantifiably affects Ugandan farming results. Despite farmers' efforts to adapt, the study finds that climate change continues to be a significant barrier to agricultural productivity. It suggests investing in early warning systems, promoting climate-smart agriculture, expanding access to irrigation, improving extension services, and enacting supportive laws. In light of a changing climate, these actions are essential for bolstering resilience and guaranteeing food and financial security for rural populations in Uganda.